[iwar] [fc:Interesting-article-from-a-few-days-back...]

From: Fred Cohen (fc@all.net)
Date: 2001-09-11 12:47:16
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September 9, 2001

On Videotape, Bin Laden Charts a Violent Future

By JOHN F. BURNS

he image on the grainy videotape is mesmerizing: a tall, slim, middle- aged
Arab man, with the bushy beard, white robes and draped white headcloth of a
devout Muslim, standing before a gathering somewhere in Afghanistan. He is
reading an Arabic poem, apparently his own, on papers that riffle in a
breeze.

The speaker's style is that of the fire-and-brimstone preachers common at
Friday Prayers across the Middle East. But he is no imam, nor even, by
calling, a poet. He is Osama bin Laden, the 46-year-old Saudi-born fugitive
millionaire who has declared a "holy war" against the United States,
directing suicide bombings that have made him the F.B.I.'s most-wanted
terrorist.

In the verses, read at the wedding in Afghanistan of his oldest son earlier
this year, Mr. bin Laden declares his purpose — killing Americans and Jews —
more starkly than ever. Proudly, he salutes the suicide bombing of the
American destroyer Cole in the Yemeni port of Aden last October in which 17
American sailors died, and promises more attacks.

"The victory of Yemen will continue," he says.

Shots of the Cole listing in Aden harbor after the attack, and of the
Americans being carried in flag-covered coffins — and a simulation of the
bombing, complete with a blinding flash — are played in the tape's opening
and closing sequences.

The shots are taken from American television coverage, and accompanied by
what seems like a gloating brutality. "Their limbs were scattered
everywhere," Mr. bin Laden says.

The verses also celebrate what Mr. bin Laden describes as the futility of
American military might. "In Aden, our brothers rose and destroyed the
mighty destroyer, a ship so powerful it spreads fear wherever it sails," Mr.
bin Laden says, over images of the Cole.

"But as it moves through the water, toward the small boat bobbing in the
water, it is sailing to its own destruction, drawn by the illusion of its
own power."

In the Cole attack, two Arab- speaking suicide bombers blew a gaping hole in
the destroyer at the waterline with an explosives-laden skiff, causing $250
million damage. While Mr. bin Laden, on the tape, stops short of saying he
ordered the strike, he effectively confirms what the F.B.I. suspected from
the outset: that it was a bin Laden operation.

Mr. bin Laden uses the tape to spell out a continuing nightmare for his
principal enemies, the United States and Israel. He promises an intensified
holy war that includes aid to Palestinians fighting Israel — an important
shift in emphasis, according to intelligence analysts. In recent years,
through a series of violent attacks, Mr. bin Laden's main focus has been on
driving American forces from the Arabian peninsula.

He also outlines plans for an expansion of his terrorist training operations
in Afghanistan, saying that the Taliban, the Islamic militant movement that
has sheltered him since 1996, have built an ideal, purified Islamic state
that provides the perfect base for a worldwide holy war against "infidels."

When the two-hour videotape surfaced last June, it attracted little
attention, partly because much of it was spliced from previous bin Laden
interviews and tapes. But since then the tape has proliferated on Islamic
Web sites and in mosques and bazaars across the Muslim world.

Intelligence officials who have analyzed the tape now say it features the
fullest exposition yet of Mr. bin Laden's views, as well as his terrorist
strategy, and thus provides a rough road map of where his organization,
Al-Qaeda, is headed.

With his mockery of American power, Mr. bin Laden seems to be almost
taunting the United States. Although F.B.I. investigators believe he was
behind the World Trade Center bombing in 1993 that killed six people, two
bombings in Saudi Arabia in 1995 and 1996 in which 24 American servicemen
died, and the bombings of two American embassies in east Africa in 1998 that
killed 224 people, as well as the Cole attack, the United States has found
no way, so far, of containing him.

After nearly a year, American investigators have been unable to trace the
Cole plot beyond six men arrested in Aden for assisting the bombers. The man
thought to have directed the attack for Al-Qaeda, Muhammad al-Harazi, is
believed to have fled to Afghanistan. Last month, the Indian police indicted
Mr. bin Laden and Mr. Harazi for an abortive plot in June to bomb the
American Embassy in Delhi, and alleged that Mr. Harazi visited New Delhi in
February, using a pseudonym, when he was already named as a Cole suspect.

Now, despite a $5 million American reward for his capture, multiple
indictments in American courts, and a cruise missile strike on his camps in
Afghanistan in 1998 that he narrowly escaped, Mr. bin Laden is threatening
still more attacks. He tells followers that there is nothing to fear from
the United States and that their Islamic faith — and their willingness to
die — is enough to neutralize America's military might.

To those who have studied Mr. bin Laden, this confidence is one of the
tape's strongest features. "A year or two ago, after the missile attacks on
Afghanistan, there were people in Washington saying bin Laden was in a box,"
said Peter Bergen, a Washington-based writer who interviewed Mr. bin Laden
in Afghanistan in 1997 and who is now writing a book on him, to be titled
"Holy War Inc." "But if he's in a box, he's a jack-in-a- box. He as much of
a threat as he ever was."

Part of Mr. bin Laden's defiance seems to stem from his increasingly close
ties with Afghanistan's Taliban rulers. Eager for American diplomatic
recognition and aid, the Islamic clerics who lead the Taliban have suggested
that they might expel Mr. bin Laden from Afghanistan, where he fled after
being forced from Sudan under American pressure. But American officials
suspect the Taliban's hints at estrangement from Mr. bin Laden were a ploy,
and the tape seems to confirm this.

At one point, Mr. bin Laden declares the Taliban leader, Mullah Muhammad
Omar, the rightful spiritual leader of the Muslim world, and says
Afghanistan has become the equivalent of the purified Islamic state
established in Mecca and Medina, Islam's holiest cities, by the Prophet
Muhammad in the early seventh century. He urges Muslims everywhere to
migrate to Afghanistan to support the Taliban and Al- Qaeda, saying it is
their duty to God.

"There is now a Muslim state that enforces God's laws, which destroys
falsehoods, and which does not succomb to the American infidels — and it is
led by a true believer, Mullah Muhammad Omar, the commander of the
faithful," he says.

Another sign of the freedoms Mr. bin Laden appears to enjoy are the tape
passages showing his followers engaging in combat training, including firing
heavy weapons and storming buildings, at a location identified as the
"al-Farooq camp." Some recruits appear little more than 11 or 12. In one
scene, Mr. bin Laden himself is seen crouching to fire a Kalashnikov rifle.

Much of the tape focuses on the current upheaval in Israel and the
Palestinian territories. What is not clear, say intelligence experts, is
whether Mr. bin Laden plans to mount direct attacks on Israeli targets, or
whether he is firing followers' passions for attacks elsewhere. "Our
brothers in Palestine are waiting for you anxiously, and expect you to
strike at America and Israel," Mr. bin Laden says. "God's earth is wide and
their interests are everywhere."

Since the Jordanian police foiled a bin Laden operation to mount bombing
attacks on pilgrims during millennium celebrations 20 months ago, Israel has
been on alert for fresh bin Laden terror plots. Israeli intelligence
officials say they have evidence that bin Laden agents have already linked
up with radical Islamic groups like Hamas, Islamic Jihad and the
Lebanon-based Hezbollah.

Vincent Cannistraro, former head of counterterrorist operations for the
Central Intelligence Agency, who reviewed the tape, said Mr. bin Laden's
warnings of new attacks should be taken seriously. "The intifada has clearly
focused his attention on the Palestinian problem, which he sees in holy war
terms — the Palestinians being oppressed by the Israelis, in ways that are
only possible because of the support they get from the United States," he
said.

"This has reinforced his opinion about the United States and its policies in
the whole of the Middle East. It sharpens his instincts for attack."

Copyright 2001 The New York Times Company

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