Return-Path: <sentto-279987-2229-1001187467-fc=all.net@returns.onelist.com> Delivered-To: fc@all.net Received: from 204.181.12.215 by localhost with POP3 (fetchmail-5.1.0) for fc@localhost (single-drop); Sat, 22 Sep 2001 12:40:10 -0700 (PDT) Received: (qmail 2305 invoked by uid 510); 22 Sep 2001 19:38:11 -0000 Received: from n3.groups.yahoo.com (216.115.96.53) by 204.181.12.215 with SMTP; 22 Sep 2001 19:38:11 -0000 X-eGroups-Return: sentto-279987-2229-1001187467-fc=all.net@returns.onelist.com Received: from [10.1.4.56] by hj.egroups.com with NNFMP; 22 Sep 2001 19:37:47 -0000 X-Sender: fc@big.all.net X-Apparently-To: iwar@onelist.com Received: (EGP: mail-7_3_2_2); 22 Sep 2001 19:37:46 -0000 Received: (qmail 41190 invoked from network); 22 Sep 2001 19:37:46 -0000 Received: from unknown (10.1.10.27) by l10.egroups.com with QMQP; 22 Sep 2001 19:37:46 -0000 Received: from unknown (HELO big.all.net) (65.0.156.78) by mta2 with SMTP; 22 Sep 2001 19:37:41 -0000 Received: (from fc@localhost) by big.all.net (8.9.3/8.7.3) id MAA19593 for iwar@onelist.com; Sat, 22 Sep 2001 12:37:28 -0700 Message-Id: <200109221937.MAA19593@big.all.net> To: iwar@onelist.com (Information Warfare Mailing List) Organization: I'm not allowed to say X-Mailer: don't even ask X-Mailer: ELM [version 2.5 PL1] From: Fred Cohen <fc@all.net> Mailing-List: list iwar@yahoogroups.com; contact iwar-owner@yahoogroups.com Delivered-To: mailing list iwar@yahoogroups.com Precedence: bulk List-Unsubscribe: <mailto:iwar-unsubscribe@yahoogroups.com> Date: Sat, 22 Sep 2001 12:37:28 -0700 (PDT) Reply-To: iwar@yahoogroups.com Subject: [iwar] [fc:ERRI.SPECIAL.TERRORISM.REPORTS.FOR.SATURDAY.-.#11] Content-Type: text/plain; charset=US-ASCII Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit 22 Sep 2001 - 09:30CDT ERRI SPECIAL TERRORISM REPORTS FOR SATURDAY - #11 CRIMINAL INVESTIGATION/FBI/CIA/DOS ACTIVITIES By Steve Macko, ERRI Risk Analyst FEDERAL BUREAU OF INVESTIGATION: Global Terrorism Investigation Continues It was said on Friday that U.S. officials are working on a report that would spell out in as much detail as possible their evidence that links last week's attacks to master terrorist Usama bin Laden. The report would be unclassified and presumably would be released sometime before the U.S. begins actual military operations against the terrorist leader. The problem is, officials admitted Friday, they still have no hard evidence making that connection. The evidence expected to be cited in the report is bin Laden's own words in which he threatened terrorist acts and bragged about past deeds. Several communications intercepts are also expected to be described as are telephone records and bank records as well as a trail of relationships - some of them three times removed - between the dead hijackers and bin Laden operatives. Officials confirm that some of the hijackers appear to have made several practice runs on the flights they eventually hijacked. Agents are checking other flight manifests for similar patterns. Because it's been reported so widely that more attacks are expected on Saturday, it bears repeating that the FBI has no firm evidence of that. Besides, one official observed, terrorists never hit us when we're on high alert, only when we're not. Meanwhile, many of the 80 people detained for immigration problems during the terrorism investigation entered the country on visitor or business visas from Middle Eastern countries. U.S. Justice Department documents showed Friday that the countries included Egypt, Pakistan, Iran, Saudi Arabia and Jordan. Justice officials have said they believe some of those being detained may have information about the plot surrounding the attacks, but the documents did not detail connections to the terrorism investigation. The government released the documents, with many parts blacked out, as the terrorism investigation expanded globally. Some of the highlights form the global investigation include: -- British investigators said they have arrested three men and one woman in connection with the attacks on the World Trade Center and Pentagon. A 27-year-old man and a woman, 25, were arrested at a residence in west London on Friday, and another man, 29, was arrested at a separate location in west London. The third man, whose age was not disclosed, was arrested by anti-terrorist officers at an address in Birmingham, 100 miles north of London. -- French authorities arrested seven people in connection with an alleged plot to harm U.S. sites in that country. And German authorities announced they were seeking two fugitives believed to have helped plot the four deadly hijackings in the United States. -- In the United States, government officials confirmed a Saudi man was arrested the day of the attacks a few miles from Dulles International Airport in suburban Washington, where one of the doomed planes took off and later crashed into the Pentagon. INTELLIGENCE COMMUNITY: Source Says Israel Attack Was Coming A senior intelligence official said on Friday that Israeli intelligence services knew months ago that Usama bin Laden was planning a large-scale terror attack. But no one knew what his targets would be. The Israeli official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said: "Everybody knew about a heightened alert, and knew that bin Laden was preparing a big attack." The official said Israeli intelligence shares information with its U.S. counterparts on a regular basis, but denied Mossad passed on concrete warnings. The official said that there was no specific information about the intention to carry out such an attack." On Thursday night, POTUS announced during his speech that he has created a new cabinet-level position to lead the fight against terrorism inside the United States. The new Office of Homeland Security will be headed by Tom Ridge, the Governor of Pennsylvania, and will coordinate government-wide domestic security efforts and protect the US from attack. The President said of Ridge in his speech to a joint session of Congress: "He will lead, oversee and coordinate a comprehensive national strategy to safeguard our country against terrorism and respond to any attacks that may come." The new office is aimed at drawing together the counterterrorism functions currently spread across several agencies, including the FBI, CIA, military, police, EMS, and firefighting forces. It will also develop plans to bolster protection for potential targets such as the nation's transportation, power and food systems. Ridge will work with a committee of security officials, members of the Justice Department, the military and agencies such as the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). U.S. STATE DEPARTMENT: U.S. Department Of State Issues Travel Warning For Indonesia On 20 September, the U.S. State Department issued the following Travel Warning for Indonesia: "The Department of State urges American citizens to defer nonessential travel to Indonesia and all travel to Aceh, Maluku, Papua, West Timor, Central and West Kalimantan (Borneo) and Central Sulawesi. Those who must travel to Indonesia, or who are resident there, should exercise extreme caution. The September 11 terrorist attacks in the United States heighten the need for vigilance on the part of American citizens resident in or traveling through Indonesia. While the Government of Indonesia has condemned these terrorist attacks, some radical Indonesian groups have threatened to attack U.S. facilities and expel American citizens from Indonesia if the U.S. strikes any Muslim country in response to the September 11 terrorist attacks in the United States. All American citizens in Indonesia are urged to exercise maximum caution and take prudent measures. This includes maintaining a strong security posture by being aware of their surroundings, avoiding crowds and demonstrations, keeping a low profile, varying times and routes for all required travel and notifying the nearest U.S. Embassy or Consulate in case of any change in the local security situation. American citizens are also urged to treat mail and packages from unfamiliar sources with suspicion. The U.S. Embassy in Jakarta has received information that indicates extremist elements may be planning to target U.S. interests in Indonesia, particularly U.S. Government facilities, and could also extend to U.S. tourists and tour groups. In addition, social unrest and violence can erupt with little forewarning anywhere in the country. Bombings of religious, political and business targets have occurred throughout the country. Due to the continuing threat of serious violence, all travel should be avoided to the regions of Aceh, Maluku, West Timor, Central and West Kalimantan and Central Sulawesi. Further, all travel by U.S. and other foreign government officials to Aceh, Papua and the Moluccas (provinces of North Maluku and Maluku) has been restricted by the Indonesian government because of security concerns. Private Americans should adhere to these same restrictions. On occasion, the U.S. mission in Indonesia may have to suspend services to the public or close because of security concerns. In those situations, the Embassy will continue to be available by telephone to offer emergency services to American citizens. A massive bombing campaign struck churches throughout Indonesia on Christmas Eve 2000, leaving at least 16 dead and over 100 injured. Bombings occurred in the cities of Medan, Pekanbaru, Batam, Bandung, Sukabumi, Bekasi, Jakarta, Mojokerto, Surabaya and Mataram. Bombings have also occurred over the past year at Indonesian government buildings, foreign diplomatic facilities and business and financial centers, including the Jakarta Stock Exchange. More explosive devices have been discovered in Jakarta since Christmas and there are indications that the bombings may continue. Some foreign travelers in troubled areas of Indonesia have been subject to arbitrary arrest, detention and deportation and, on at least one occasion, false accusations of espionage. In November 2000 in the central Java city of Solo, groups opposed to U.S. policy undertook or threatened "sweeps," trying to identify American citizens and order them to depart the country. There also have been a number of acts of intimidation and violence directed at American companies and U.S. diplomatic facilities. Indonesian security officials have sometimes been unwilling or unable to respond. The Abu Sayyaf terrorist group has been active throughout the islands in the extreme southwest Philippines, near Indonesia, and have kidnapped American citizens in the Philippines. American citizens traveling to the border regions in Northern Kalimantan and North Sulawesi, in particular the smaller islands closer to the Philippines, are urged to review their security procedures." In other DoS cables in regards to Indonesia: US Embassy Jakarta has reported that ten radical Islamic groups have held a press conference during which they threatened to unleash a holy war if America launched retaliatory strikes against Afghanistan for the WTC and Pentagon terrorist attacks. The press conference was held at the al-Furqan Mosque in Jakarta, and was convened by the Indonesian Islamic Council (DDII). The ten radical Islamic organizations belonging to the DDII include: -- Front Pembela Islam (FPI - Islamic Defenders' Front) -- Laskar Jihad (LJ - Jihad Columns/Soldiers or Fighters) -- Anti-Zionist Movement -- Indonesian Mujahidin Front -- Ababil Brigade Jakarta -- Movement for Female Muslims -- HAMMAS (local Indonesian, not Palestinian, version) -- National Student Association -- Committee for Indonesian Islamic Solidarity Among the speakers at the press conference, the following remarks were made: -- LJ chief Ja'far Umar Thalib warned that his group would keep score on the United States and would "strike back at US 'assets' in Indonesia and throughout the world" if America attacked Afghanistan. -- LJ official Ayip Syafrudin declared that LJ would "declare a jihad against the United States if it attacked Muslim countries." -- Laskar Jumdullah Solo Brigade leader Muhammad Kalono threatened that "If America drops even one bullet in Afghanistan, God willing, we will wipe out all US facilities and interests here." -- FPI Chairman Al Habib Muhammad Riziq Syihab threatened to attack the US Embassy in Jakarta, find Americans, and expel them from Indonesia. ERRI ANALYSIS-INDONESIA ERRI Reports for Friday 21 September 2001 Radical Islamic Groups Threaten U.S. Facilities By Jeremy Zakis, ERRI Analyst Radical Islamic groups in the world's largest Islamic state are threatening to attack U.S. targets in the country, if the United States launches a military strike on Afghanistan. Muhammad Kalono, a spokesman for the Islamic paramilitary groups said in a statement on Wednesday, "If America drops even one bullet in Afghanistan, God willing, we will wipe out all U.S. facilities and interests here." The threats were made less than a week after Indonesian President Megawati Sukarnoputri met with U.S. President George W. Bush to pledge her support for the war on terrorism. Analyst Viewpoint: Extra-Caution for U.S. Citizens in Indonesia after Threats By Jeremy Zakis, ERRI Analyst in Australia These threats should be taken very seriously because radical Islamic elements within the country have previously threatened U.S. interests and held demonstrations outside U.S. facilities. Media reports prior to the September 11 terrorist attacks in the United States said that Usama bin Laden was seeking out Indonesia as a "launch pad" for operations, which concurs with past ERRI predictions that terrorism will increase in the Asian region. ERRI has already been monitoring the al-Qaeda-connected Abu Sayyaf Group (ASG) and Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF) in the Philippines. In the past 18-months these groups have launched a number of brief incursions into both Malaysian and Indonesian waters for the purposes of kidnapping foreigncitizens. Both these groups are suspected of having Indonesian contacts. When a U.S. retaliation begins, the radical Indonesian Islamic groups, who mainly operate independent of one another, are expected to stage a series of violent demonstrations in the capital Jakarta. Within a short period of time, factions within these groups are likely to use small IED's to cause damage to U.S. facilities at random. To date, they have not proved capable of using more sophisticated explosive devices. However, the latest indicated to analysts that the Islamic groups may have a quasi-spokesperson, which could mean they have formed a stronger alliance with each other. If this is true, they now hold the potential to stage more lengthy terrorist operation similar to campaigns in the Philippines. It should also be noted also that for the past two years, violent attacks have occurred on people of Christian background and Churches destroyed by bomb attacks. ERRI is monitoring the situation in Indonesia closely... U.S. Embassy Niamey, Niger, Issues Warden Message On 20 September, the U.S. Embassy in Niger issued the following Warden Message to Americans in the African country: "In light of the continued uncertainty of the security situation worldwide, American Embassy Niamey is extending the restriction on travel by Embassy Personnel outside of Niamey to "essential business only." American citizens are reminded the Worldwide caution issued September 12 by the State Department remains in effect and are urged to maintain heightened security awareness and be vigilant to any unusual activity in their daily surroundings." U.S. DEPARTMENT OF DEFENSE: Military Buildup Continues As the United States prepared to strike back at terrorism, the Pentagon on Friday ordered more Air Force planes to support a buildup of U.S. firepower in the Persian Gulf area. With B-1 bombers taking off from Ellsworth, South Dakota, the U.S. is making preparations to bomb the camps if the Taliban refuses to turn over every person associated with al-Qaeda and open the camps to inspection. The strikes will be much larger than the ones launched against bin Laden's bases after the bombing of the U.S. embassies in Africa, but they are not likely to get all the terrorists -- since many of them had left the camps before the airliner attacks. The Air Force has bombs designed to penetrate deep into the caves where bin Laden is believed to be working on chemical and biological weapons and perhaps even be hiding nuclear material. But the only way to be sure is to go in with ground troops -- army commandos flown in from a nearby country, possibly Uzbekistan. An official on Friday confirmed a New York Times report that Air Force Lt. General Charles Wald, commander of U.S. Central Command's air component, has moved from his usual base at Shaw Air Force Base, South Carolina, to an air operations center at Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia. From there, he could plan and direct air attacks against Afghanistan and other possible targets in the region. With B-2 bombers put on alert for non-stop missions from the U.S., B-1 bombers ordered to bases in the Persian Gulf and B-52 bombers being sent to the island of Diego Garcia in the Indian Ocean, Usama bin Laden's infrastructure of caves and training camps is likely to take a pounding. U.S. Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld said the American campaign will not mean the end of terrorism. He said: "I think what you can try to do is to go after this worldwide problem in a way that we can continue our way of life. It strikes at our way of life, and while we may not eliminate it completely from the face of the Earth, which we surely will not, but it can be better controlled." Early Friday in Japan, the USS Kitty Hawk, the only U.S. aircraft carrier stationed in the western Pacific, left its port in Yokosuka for an undisclosed location. The carrier has a crew of 5,500 sailors, naval aviators and Marines and typically carries 70 aircraft. According to London's The Guardian newspaper on Friday, the US government is pressing its European allies to agree to a military campaign to topple the Taliban regime in Afghanistan and replace it with an interim administration under United Nations auspices. Diplomatic cables from the Washington embassy of a key NATO ally, reportedly seen by the newspaper, say that the US is anxious to hear allied views on "post-Taliban Afghanistan after the liberation of the country." That report has not been confirmed by U.S. officials. The embassy cable reveals that the US is bent on force to evict the Taliban from power because of the shelter it has offered Usama bin Laden. The Guardian also reported that two large US Hercules transport aircraft landed in Tashkent, capital of the former Soviet republic of Uzbekistan, on Tuesday loaded with surveillance equipment to be installed along the northern Afghan border. The US strategy to depose the Taliban regime is based on more than military thinking. A further plank appears to entail supporting the campaign of the exiled 86-year-old monarch of Afghanistan, King Zahir Shah, to return to power by encouraging the guerrilla army of the Northern Alliance opposition to fall in behind him. AFGHANISTAN: Taliban Troops Reportedly Deployed on Pakistani Border Pakistani border officials said on Friday that Taliban troops have taken up positions in the jagged mountain peaks overlooking Afghanistan's border with Pakistan. A Pakistan Frontier Corps official, speaking on condition of anonymity, confirmed the Taliban buildup and said Pakistan has countered with a fresh deployment of border troops on its side of the line. He didn't say how many new soldiers were deployed. INTERNATIONAL: Algerian Terrorist Threatens US And European Interests US Embassy Algiers reports that El Youm, an Arabic language independent newspaper, has front-page coverage on Hassan Hattab -- the leader of the Groupe Islamique pour la Predilection et le Combat (GSPC), a branch of the GIA, regarding recent terrorist attacks that took place in the U.S. The paper said: "Hassan Hattab declared that what happened is a lesson the U.S. should take advantage of; and it [the U.S.] should not be so quick in retaliating against innocent individuals. Hassan Hattab also threatened to violently counter-attack American interests in Algeria if the U.S. kept on harassing Arab-Moslems on the basis of a Jewish plot. He added that no obstacle and no security could prevent them [GIA] from hitting U.S. interests abroad. He did not deny Bin Laden's responsibility in the attacks but pointed out that civilians were not their principal targets. Hassan Hattab, nevertheless, declared that he would not implement his threats if the U.S. stopped harassing Islamists. He also alluded to the fact that some circles in and out of Algeria would try to hit U.S. interests In other overseas developments on Friday related to the investigation of last week's terrorist attacks: -- In London, anti-terrorist police arrested three men and one woman in connection with the terrorist attacks. - In Poland, officials were investigating evidence that people suspected of terrorist activities passed through Poland, but would not speculate about any links to last week's attacks. - In Mexico, authorities were combing through hotel registration documents and tracing the activities of an "unusually high" number of Arab guests who stayed at Pacific coast resorts between July and five days before the terrorist attacks. -- In Germany, investigators named a Yemeni man as their second suspected link to the terrorists who attacked New York and Washington, revealing that they now believe the plot reached back at least to 1999. -- In France, police detained seven people in connection with an investigation into alleged plans to attack U.S. interests in France. Tajikistan President Emomali Rakhmonov said his country was ready to cooperate with the United States and the international community in fighting terrorism. Rakhmonov said on Saturday during a meeting of the Tajik People's Democratic party in Dushanbe: "Being in solidarity with the United States people, we at the same time express our willingness to cooperate with the international community, including the U.S. government, in the fight against international terrorism and extremism." He did not say, however, what form the cooperation would take, and made no mention of allowing Western forces to set up bases in his country or to use air corridors over Tajikistan to attack Afghanistan. The prime minister's office said on Saturday that Turkey has agreed to allow U.S. Air Force transport aircraft to use its airspace and airports for a possible response to recent terrorist attacks. Turkey is also willing to share intelligence on Afghanistan with the United States. A statement from Prime Minister Bulent Ecevit's office said the United States requested the use of airports and air space for transport aircraft. It did not ask for permission to use fighter jets. The Turkish government had already indicated that Incirlik air base, in southern Turkey, could be used for possible attacks. Some 50 U.S. and British jets, based at Incirlik, are currently flying patrols over northern Iraq to protect Iraqi Kurds from the forces of Saddam Hussein. New Zealand on Friday offered a military support in the fight against terrorism and is in it for the "long haul." Prime Minister Helen Clark said New Zealand would support the U.S. determination to root out the followers of terrorist leader Usama bin Laden and other terrorist groups. Clark didn't elaborate but analysts said the options could include New Zealand special force commandos assisting with lightning strikes against terrorist cells in the Asia-Pacific region, and possibly joining a bigger strike force in the Afghanistan region. Air force transport planes, medical services, naval patrol vessels and other supports were also options which New Zealand provided during the Gulf War. (c) Copyright, EmergencyNet News Service, 2001. All rights reserved. Emergency Response & Research Institute 6348 N. Milwaukee Ave. #312 Chicago, IL 60646, USA 773-631-3774 - Voice/Messages 773-631-4703 - Facsimile <a href="mailto:webmaster@emergency.com?Subject=Re:%20(ai)%20ERRI%20SPECIAL%20TERRORISM%20REPORTS%20FOR%20SATURDAY%20-%20#11%20--22%20Sep%202001%2526In-Reply-To=%2526lt;NEBBJPACGLDPKCCMLOKDEENNHGAA.sysop@emergency.com">webmaster@emergency.com</a> - E-Mail <a href="http://www.emergency.com">http://www.emergency.com> - Main Webpage ------------------------ Yahoo! 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This archive was generated by hypermail 2.1.2 : 2001-09-29 21:08:48 PDT