[iwar] [fc:Olivier.Schmidt's.Intelligence.Update]

From: Fred Cohen (fc@all.net)
Date: 2001-09-27 06:43:02


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Subject: [iwar] [fc:Olivier.Schmidt's.Intelligence.Update]
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Olivier Schmidt's Intelligence Update, 24 Sept 2001.
Mr B Raman is prominently mentioned and quoted
regarding Pakistan's ISI.

Oliver Schmidt says about Mr B Raman, "As US President George W.  Bush
gets ready to make an ally of Pakistan in his "good against evil" fight
to get Osama Bin Laden, he would do well to read the history below of
Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) written by B.  Raman &lt;<a
href="mailto:corde@vsnl.com?Subject=Re:%20[South%20Asia%20Security%20&amp;%20Info%20War]%20Olivier%20Schmidt's%20Intelligence%20Update,%2024%20Sept%202001%2526In-Reply-To=%2526lt;20010927101344.16860.qmail@web11608.mail.yahoo.com">corde@vsnl.com</a
>, Additional Secretary (retd), Cabinet Secretariat, Government of
India, and, presently, Director, Institute For Topical Studies, in
Chennai, India.  Dated 1 August 2001 and published as paper number 287
by the Indian South Asia Analysis Group, it should be considered far
from neutral.  Indeed, there is no mention of Indian government errors
or mishaps.  Nonetheless, the factual aspects of the history are
relatively reliable and provide numerous details and much "food for
thought" for those who would make an ally of Pakistan against Islamic
fundamentalists....."

Ravi V Prasad
==========================================


INTELLIGENCE                                ISSN
1245-2122
N. 390, 24 September 2001
Every Two to Three Weeks
Next Issue on 15 October 2001
Publishing since 1980

Editor
Olivier Schmidt
(email  <a href="mailto:adi@blythe.org?Subject=Re:%20[South%20Asia%20Security%20&amp;%20Info%20War]%20Olivier%20Schmidt's%20Intelligence%20Update,%2024%20Sept%202001%2526In-Reply-To=%2526lt;20010927101344.16860.qmail@web11608.mail.yahoo.com">adi@blythe.org</a>;
web  http://www.blythe.org/Intelligence)

TABLE OF CONTENTS, N. 390, 24 September 2001

FRONT PAGE


USA - FALLOUT FROM A MONUMENTAL INTELLIGENCE FAILURE
p.1

TECHNOLOGY AND TECHNIQUES

INFORMATION MANAGEMENT FOR WTC-PENTAGON ATTACKS p.2
FALLOUT FROM DISASTROUS RAIN-MAKING TECHNOLOGY p.3
CANADIAN BOWMAN TECHNOLOGY REPLACES OLD CLANSMAN p.4

PEOPLE

GREAT BRITAIN - WALTER COLYEAR WALKER p.5
              - ROGER WHEELER p.6

AGENDA

COMING EVENTS THROUGH 1 NOVEMBER 2001 p.7

INTELLIGENCE AROUND THE WORLD

USA/GREAT BRITAIN - THE CASUALTIES TO COME p.8
USA - FBI FIGHTS WITH CYBERSECURITY &amp; OTHER NEWS p.9
    - CIA SURVIVING A MAJOR FAILURE p.10
USA/GREAT BRITAIN - TARGETING DIRTY-MONEY LAWYERS p.11
GREAT BRITAIN - MI5 GOES PRIVATE ... ON MI6 TURF p.12
              - MAJOR UK/NATO SECURITY BREACH AVERTED
p.13
              - FORMER MI5 CHIEF RIMINGTON
     "EXCOMMUNICATED" p.14
NORTHERN IRELAND - FORMER SOLDIERS FALLING APART p.15
IRELAND - POLITICS, ECONOMICS AND HELICOPTERS p.16
NETHERLANDS/SCOTLAND - LOCKERBIE APPEAL ON SCHEDULE
p.17
WESTERN EUROPE - FALLOUT FROM WTC &amp; PENTAGON ATTACKS
p.18
EASTERN EUROPE - TERRORIST ATTACKS IN US &amp; CHECHNYA
p.19
COLOMBIA/IRELAND - REPORT ON DETAINEES BY IRISH
     FOREIGN OFFICE p.20
PAKISTAN - HISTORY OF THE ISI ... BY INDIA p.21

---------------------------------------------

Intelligence, N. 390, 24 September 2001, p. 1


USA

FALLOUT FROM A MONUMENTAL INTELLIGENCE FAILURE


As soon as the terrorist attacks against the World Trade Center and the
Pentagon had taken place on 11 September, and even before the first of
the two towers had collapsed, intelligence specialists were already
asking why the FBI and the CIA had done nothing to protect the American
and world public against such catastrophic events.  The second question
that arose was what had happened to US Middle Eastern intelligence which
is largely "farmed out" to Mossad.  Was Israeli intelligence as "blind"
as US intelligence concerning this terrorist campaign?

These, it seems, were not the questions that immediately concerned US
and world media which were preoccupied with the horrific dimensions of
the human and material losses caused by the attacks.  But the questions
-- and some answers or at least information -- did filter through the
abundant tide of media reports and were picked up by careful analysts. 
  ...(cut)...
  ...(cut)...
---------------------------------------------

Intelligence, N. 390, 24 September 2001, p. 2


INFORMATION MANAGEMENT FOR WTC-PENTAGON ATTACKS


The loss of more than 6,000 civilian lives in attacks attributed to
intelligence failure would mean, by definition, a major event for the
non-specialized media.  For intelligence specialists, it means an
incredible task which several institutional subscribers to
"Intelligence" have quickly addressed by constituting their own
compilations or digests of open source material which have been
circulated on a "private" basis.  On a public basis, Reuters produced a
series of "Updates" starting early on 11 September.  There were two
consistently good sources of information that "Intelligence" has found
useful. 

The Emergency Response &amp; Research Institute (ERRI) in Chicago &lt;<a
href="http://www.emergency.com">http://www.emergency.com> issued a
series of 25 detailed text reports, including a series of "ERRI Special
Terrorism Reports", throughout the crisis which closely followed events
and other media reports.  The ERRI reports were typically three to four
pages long. 

Phil Agre's Red Rock Eater News Service listserv &lt;<a
href="mailto:rre@lists.gseis.ucla.edu?Subject=Re:%20[South%20Asia%20Security%20&amp;%20Info%20War]%20Olivier%20Schmidt's%20Intelligence%20Update,%2024%20Sept%202001%2526In-Reply-To=%2526lt;20010927101344.16860.qmail@web11608.mail.yahoo.com">rre@lis
ts.gseis.ucla.edu</a> produced a few texts but especially a long and
detailed series of URL entries dealing with the crisis &lt;<a
href="http://dlis.gseis.ucla.edu/people/pagre/rre.html">http://dlis.gseis.ucla.edu/people/pagre/rre.html>. 
The URL's were briefly described and organized by subtopic in a useful
manner.  The 19 mailing issued up to 21 September included several
hundred URL's. 

Steven Aftergood, of the Federation of American Scientists (FAS) also
provided three articles with several URL's mostly at the FAS Web site
itself: 11 September, "After September 11", 14 September, "Congress
Rushes In", and 17 September, "New Resources on Terrorism" &lt;<a
href="http://www.fas.org:sgp">http://www.fas.org:sgp>. 

In addition to the press articles and URL's mentioned in our Front Page
article, "Intelligence" received more than 1.8M of data (almost 1,000
entries), much of which is already in digest or excerpt form.  This does
not include compilations of media reports forwarded to "Intelligence" by
"friendly" institutional subscribers (those who pay their subscriptions)
and which easily represent another megabyte.  "Intelligence" can forward
a 17-page index of our material to interested subscribers.  There are
also seven "WTC" (World Trade Center) files, each with its own index, an
example of which is included below with approximate page numbers to the
right. 
  ...(cut)... 
---------------------------------------------


INTELLIGENCE AROUND THE WORLD


Intelligence, N.  390, 24 September 2001, p.  8


USA/GREAT BRITAIN

THE CASUALTIES TO COME


Pentagon planners tasked with implementing President George W.  Bush's
apocalyptic threat of "ending states" which support terrorism, and
"smoking out" Osama Bin Laden, will no doubt have been briefed on
Britain's role in training several hundred mujahideen in the 1980s, many
of whom stayed in Afghanistan following the Soviet withdrawal in 1989,
and remain loyal to the man whom the US administration describe as the
"chief suspect" in the FBI investigation into the World Trade Center and
Pentagon bombings and plane hijackings of 11 September, which probably
killed over 6,000 people from more than 50 countries. 

In an interview published in the "Sunday Mail", on 16 September, Ken
Connor, a former member of 22 SAS, told the Glasgow newspaper that
training camps were set up near the Scottish town of Dumfries, in the
West Highlands and in the north of England.  One of the longest-serving
officers when he left the regiment in 1986, Mr.  Connor claimed in his
book, "Ghost Force", published several years ago, that the SAS three-
week training program was funded by the CIA and approved by the British
Foreign Office (who provided tourist visas for the mujahideen), by MI6,
and by the Ministry of Defence (MoD).  The Afghans spent three weeks
isolated in "boot camps" in the rugged Scottish mountains where their
training focused on the use of heat-seeking Stinger missiles, destroying
armor and attack helicopters, battlefield communications, mortar drills
and the use of high-explosives to destroy bunkers and bridges - - all of
which -- unfortunately -- will be useful if the United States and
Britain decide to send in ground troops or Special Forces to bring Bin
Laden back "dead or alive." There's nothing new about the "Sunday Mail"
story.  "Intelligence" referred to the training program -- on which the
MoD refused to comment -- in an article several years ago on the
unauthorized history of the SAS. 
  ...(cut)... 
---------------------------------------------

Intelligence, N.  390, 24 September 2001, p.  12


GREAT BRITAIN

MI5 GOES PRIVATE ...  ON MI6 TURF


During a keynote speech at a "private seminar" held at MI5 Headquarters,
Thames House, Millbank, London, earlier this month, for a select
audience of 64 company executives from some of Britain's blue-chip
industrial and financial organizations, the director general of the
Security Service, Sir Stephen Lander, invited companies doing business
in areas of potential political unrest, specifically Eastern Europe, to
avail themselves of MI5 expertise with regard to risk assessment and
intelligence on individuals who may be linked to organized crime,
drug-trafficking, money laundering and/or other elements of the black
economy. 

The seminar, entitled "Secret Work in an Open Society", was organized by
MI5 and the Whitehall and Industrial Group (WIG), which aims to provide
an "informal liaison forum" for top executives in the private sector and
senior mandarins and managers who run government departments.  Patrons
include Sir Richard Wilson, Cabinet Secretary and head of the Home Civil
Service; senior Treasury official, Sir Andrew Turnbull; Lord Hoskins,
chairman of Northern Foods and advisor to the Cabinet Office; Digby
Jones, director general of the Confederation of British Industry (CBI);
and Sir George Mathewson, chairman of the Royal Bank of Scotland. 
  ...(cut)... 
---------------------------------------------

Intelligence, N.  390, 24 September 2001, p.  17


NETHERLANDS/SCOTLAND

LOCKERBIE APPEAL ON SCHEDULE


Eighteen hours before PanAm Flight 103 left Heathrow Airport en route to
JFK New York, on 21 December 1988, a former security guard at the
airport, Ray Manly, has claimed that he discovered a break-in at the US
airline's baggage facility.  The Boeing 747 blew up over Lockerbie at
19h02, killing 270 people -- 259 passengers and crew, and 11 residents
of the Scottish village. 

Despite a sworn affidavit in which Mr.  Manly stated that he had found
the padlock cut from the door, his testimony was not introduced during
the trial of two Libyans at Camp Zeist, the former US air base in the
Netherlands, which ended on 31 January 2001 with the conviction of
former Libyan intelligence agent, Abdel Basset Ali al-Megrahi, and the
acquittal of co- defendant, Lamen Khalifa Fhimah.  The prosecution
claimed that Flight 103 had been destroyed by a bomb placed on board the
aircraft at Frankfurt, Germany, having been included with baggage in the
inter-airport luggage transfer system from a connecting flight which had
arrived earlier from Malta.  However, Mr.  Manly believes the Heathrow
break-in suggests the possibility for an "unauthorized person to obtain
tags for a particular PanAm flight [and] to have introduced a tagged bag
into the baggage build-up area."
  ...(cut)... 
---------------------------------------------

Intelligence, N.  390, 24 September 2001, p.  21


PAKISTAN

HISTORY OF THE ISI ...  BY INDIA


As US President George W.  Bush gets ready to make an ally of Pakistan
in his "good against evil" fight to get Osama Bin Laden, he would do
well to read the history below of Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence
(ISI) written by B.  Raman &lt;<a
href="mailto:corde@vsnl.com?Subject=Re:%20[South%20Asia%20Security%20&amp;%20Info%20War]%20Olivier%20Schmidt's%20Intelligence%20Update,%2024%20Sept%202001%2526In-Reply-To=%2526lt;20010927101344.16860.qmail@web11608.mail.yahoo.com">corde@vsnl.com</a
>, Additional Secretary (retd), Cabinet Secretariat, Government of
India, and, presently, Director, Institute For Topical Studies, in
Chennai, India.  Dated 1 August 2001 and published as paper number 287
by the Indian South Asia Analysis Group, it should be considered far
from neutral.  Indeed, there is no mention of Indian government errors
or mishaps.  Nonetheless, the factual aspects of the history are
relatively reliable and provide numerous details and much "food for
thought" for those who would make an ally of Pakistan against Islamic
fundamentalists. 

----------

The intelligence community of Pakistan, which was once described by the
"Frontier Post" of Peshawar (18 May 1994) as its "invisible government"
and by the "Dawn" of Karachi (25 April 1994) as "our secret godfathers",
consists of the Intelligence Bureau (IB) and the Inter-Services
Intelligence (ISI).  While the IB is under the Interior Minister, the
ISI is part of the Ministry of Defence (MOD).  Each wing of the Armed
Forces also has its own intelligence directorate for tactical MI. 

The IB is the oldest intelligence service, dating from Pakistan's
creation in 1947.  It was formed by the division of the pre-partition IB
of British India.  Its unsatisfactory military intelligence (MI)
performance in the first Indo-Pak war of 1947-48 over Jammu &amp;
Kashmir (J &amp; K) led to the decision, in 1948, to create the ISI,
manned by officers from the three Services, to specialize in the
collection, analysis and assessment of external intelligence, military
and non- military, with the main focus on India. 

Initially, the ISI had no role in the collection of internal political
intelligence except in Pakistan-Occupied Kashmir (POK) and the Northern
Areas (NA--Gilgit and Baltistan).  Ayub Khan, suspecting the loyalty and
objectivity of the Bengali police officers in the Subsidiary
Intelligence Bureau (SIB) of the IB in Dacca, the capital of the then
East Pakistan, entrusted the ISI with the responsibility for collection
of internal political intelligence in East Pakistan, now Bangladesh. 
  ...(cut)...  --------------------------------------------- AGENDA


Intelligence, N.  390, 24 September 2001, p.  7


COMING EVENTS THROUGH 1 NOVEMBER 2001


In the interest of efficiency, "Intelligence" lists all coming events
only once according to date, and they are not repeated in subsequent
issues.  Past Agendas are available free at our web site &lt;<a
href="http://www.blythe.org/Intelligence">http://www.blythe.org/Intelligence>
and additional information concerning these events is available at 33
(0)1 40 51 85 19 (tel/fax) or <a
href="mailto:adi@blythe.org?Subject=Re:%20[South%20Asia%20Security%20&amp;%20Info%20War]%20Olivier%20Schmidt's%20Intelligence%20Update,%2024%20Sept%202001%2526In-Reply-To=%2526lt;20010927101344.16860.qmail@web11608.mail.yahoo.com"
>adi@blythe.org</a> (email).  Paid advertisements describing an event in
greater detail are sent directly to more than one thousand Internet
subscribers and members of our free distribution list. 

10-11 October, Laurel, Maryland, Precision Strike Technology Symposium -
Technologies to Enable World-Wide Precision Engagement, Precision Strike
Association, <a
href="http://www.precisionstrike.org">http://www.precisionstrike.org>. 

16 October, Asnieres near Paris, Business and Protection against Theft
and Aggression, 33 (0)6 08 31 21 18. 

16-18 October, Toronto, Canada, CANASA's Security Canada Central
meeting, 1 905 513 0622. 

16-18 October, Los Angeles, California, Aviation Week's Aerospace Expo
2001, <a
href="http://www.AviationNow.com/conferences">http://www.AviationNow.com/conferences>. 

17-18 October, Hull, England, Aydee Marketing's Safety, Security,
Handling, Storage, Packaging meeting, <a
href="http://www.aydee.com/exhibs.htm">http://www.aydee.com/exhibs.htm>. 

19-20 October, Fredericton, Canada, Centre for Conflict Studies and the
Pearson Peacekeeping Centre joint conference on the Impact of
Peacekeeping, conflict@unb.ca. 

19-21 October, Ann Arbor, Michigan, Computer Professionals for Social
Responsibility (CPSR) 20th Annual Meeting - Nurturing the Cybercommons,
<a
href="http://www.cpsr.org/conferences/annmtg01/">http://www.cpsr.org/conferences/annmtg01/>. 

21-24 October, Nimes, France, Infonortics' International Chemical
Information meeting dedicated to scientific and technical information,
<a href="http://www.infonortics.com">http://www.infonortics.com>. 

22-25 October, Las Vegas, Nevada, International Telemetering Conference,
<a href="http://www.telemetry.org">http://www.telemetry.org>. 

22-26 October, Orlando, Florida, NDIA's 2001 Defense Systems
Acquisitions Management meeting, <a
href="http://www.ndia.org">http://www.ndia.org>. 

22-26 October, Dallas, Texas, NDIA's Systems Engineering and
Supportability Conference, pedmonson@ndia.org. 

22 October-2 November, St.  Neots, England, Intelligence Study Centre
(Europe) training program on Strategic Intelligence and Analysis, <a
href="http://www.intstudycen.com">http://www.intstudycen.com>. 

23-26 October, Maebashi City, Japan, Maebashi Institute of Technology's
First Asia-Pacific Conference on Web Intelligence,

<a
href="http://kis.maebashi-it.ac.jp/wi01">http://kis.maebashi-it.ac.jp/wi01>. 

24-25 October, Bolling AFB in Washington DC, AFCEA's International Fall
Intelligence Symposium 2001- Intelligence and the National Security
Strategy, 1 703 631 6250. 

24-26 October, Boca Raton, Florida, IEEE's Sixth International Symposium
on High Assurance Systems Engineering (HASE'2001), with Impact of
Networking as a special topic, <a
href="http://renoir.csc.ncsu.edu/HASE/">http://renoir.csc.ncsu.edu/HASE/>. 

24-26 October, New York, Practising Law Institute's Third National
Summit - From Theory to Practice - From Planning to Implementation, with
a seminar on the New HIPAA Privacy Rule - Guiding Your Clients Through
the Implementation Process, <a
href="http://www.pli.edu/">http://www.pli.edu/>. 

27-29 October, Alexandria, Virginia, TPRC's 29th Research Conference on
Communication, Information and Internet Policy (TPRC2001), <a
href="http://www.tprc.org/">http://www.tprc.org/>. 

28 October-1 November, Kansas City, Missouri, NDIA's 5th Annual DoD
Maintenance Symposium &amp; Exhibition, <a
href="mailto:djenks@ndia.org?Subject=Re:%20[South%20Asia%20Security%20&amp;%20Info%20War]%20Olivier%20Schmidt's%20Intelligence%20Update,%2024%20Sept%202001%2526In-Reply-To=%2526lt;20010927101344.16860.qmail@web11608.mail.yahoo.com">djenks@ndia.org</a>
or cwilkins@ndia.org. 

29 October-2 November, Panama City, Florida, NDIA's 6th Annual
Expeditionary Warfare Conference (EWC), adekleine@ndia.org. 

30 October, Pusan, Korea, Kyungyon Exhibition's 2001 Naval &amp; Defense
- International Port &amp; Logistics Equipment/Technology Exhibition, <a
href="http://www.marineweek.org">http://www.marineweek.org>. 

30 October-3 November, Waikiki, Hawaii, Nexus Media's 2001 UDT Hawaii -
Undersea Defence Technology, <a
href="http://www.udtnet.com">http://www.udtnet.com>. 

1 November, deadline for submissions to the Society for Military and
Strategic Studies' 4th Annual Student Conference - War &amp; Security -
Historical Perspectives, Contemporary Interpretations, Science and
Technology &amp; Missing Dimensions, on 15-16 February 2002 in Calgary,
Canada, http://www2.h-
net.msu.edu/announce/show.cgi. 

1-2 November, Waterloo, Canada, Centre for Applied Cryptographic
Research (CACR) 8th Information Security Workshop - The Human Face of
Privacy Technology, <a
href="http://www.cacr.math.uwaterloo.ca/">http://www.cacr.math.uwaterloo.ca/>. 


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