[iwar] [fc:Menace.of.tech.warfare.looms:.paper]

From: Fred Cohen (fc@all.net)
Date: 2002-07-27 10:50:21


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Date: Sat, 27 Jul 2002 10:50:21 -0700 (PDT)
Subject: [iwar] [fc:Menace.of.tech.warfare.looms:.paper]
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[FC - I think they are about 6 years late in their estiumate of when, but...]

Taipei Times
7/24/02
 
Menace of tech warfare looms: paper
 
REPORT: In an unusually candid edition of its biennial defense white
paper, the military outlines what it sees as Taiwan's biggest threats
and what it plans to do about them
 
By Brian Hsu STAFF REPORTER
 
China's electronic and information warfare capabilities will pose a real
threat to Taiwan by 2010, as it becomes more proficient in using
electromagnetic pulse bombs and highly complicated computer viruses to
paralyze Taiwan's command systems, the Ministry of National Defense
(MND) reported in its 2002 defense white paper, which was released
yesterday. 
 
To counter China's electronic and information warfare development, the
military is to focus its arms build-up along similar lines, the 2002
National Defense Report says.  The report is published every two years. 
 
To enhance its electronic warfare capability, the military is to
integrate the command and control systems of the air force and navy to
form an electronic surveillance network, the report says. 
 
The military is also to more effectively integrate the use of unmanned
aerial vehicles (UAVs) and underwater monitoring systems, which are to
be part of the electronic surveillance network. 
 
The UAVs and underwater monitoring systems referred to are still under
development or construction.  The underwater monitoring systems, though
not specified in the report, are believed to be those that Taiwan and
the US are building in seas around Taiwan proper. 
 
It is the first time the MND has revealed in its defense white paper,
the sixth since 1992, projects with such a high level of sensitivity. 
 
The report also candidly discusses another hitherto rarely-discussed
project -- the establishment of a test site for electronic warfare
drills. 
 
The project has now entered the second stage, the report says, although
what the second stage consists of goes unexplained in the report. 
 
Building enhanced electronic warfare capabilities, including the
introduction of electronic warfare units in all three services, is now a
major objective, the report says. 
 
The existence of the army's electronic warfare battalion, established
only last year with US assistance, is for the first time confirmed by
the report. 
 
In the area of information warfare, the military is developing on its
own attack and defense capabilities, with an eye on winning any
potential information clash with China, the report says. 
 
A reading of the report indicates that the military is wary of China's
progress in this area.  The report estimates that by 2010, China will be
able to use computer viruses to attack and paralyze Taiwan's military
computer networks. 
 
Aside from introducing its new electronic and information warfare
capabilities, the report is also notable for outlining a change in the
military's engagement sequence for the three services in case of an
attack from China. 
 
For years, the military had been using "command of the air, command of
the sea and counter-amphibious landing," as the air force, navy, and
army engagement sequence against any invasion attempt. 
 
The phrasing in the year's report reads, "command of the air, command of
the sea and homeland defense."
 
The change is being interpreted by some military observers as a sign
that the army is losing its importance vis-a-vis the air force and navy. 
 
But at yesterday's regular press conference of the MND, deputy air force
chief Lieutenant General Fu Wei-ku (³Å¼¢©t), who was responsible of the
compilation of the 2002 defense white paper, denied that the change is
meant to belittle the army. 
 
"We use the term `homeland defense' to conform with the homeland
security concept instituted by the US after the Sept.  11 terrorist
attacks.  The term covers a much wider range of areas than
`counter-amphibious landing.' The army has not been belittled.  It has
become much more important, in fact," Fu said. 
 
Whether or not Fu's comments are sincere, the rephrasing of the
time-worn slogan marks an unprecedented effort by leaders in the armed
forces to breathe new life into the military, a conservative institution
which more often than not resists attempts to reform it. 
 
The report touches not just on purely military subjects.  It also offers
the MND's view of political issues, such as the establishment of
confidence building measures (CBMs) between the two sides of the Taiwan
Strait.  The report says that the MND would like to see the two sides
reach agreements on CBMs, as long as the agreements are made on the
basis of mutual respect. 
 
The report also says that the MND is willing to send high-ranking
officials for regular talks with Chinese military authorities. 
 
The MND also says it is prepared to drawn up plans for port visits
between the two navies.  It is also considering the mapping of a
demilitarized zone as a buffer between militaries of the two sides. 
 
These objectives, however, are regarded as medium-term goals to be
more-seriously considered if and when the two sides reach agreement on
the CBMs. 
 
The 2002 National Defense Report is considered by military analysts to
be somewhat of a watershed event, given its candidness relative to past
editions. 
 
It includes for the first time, for example, the results of an opinion
poll that the Cabinet conducted late last year on the public's
perception of the defense ministry. 
 
The results of the opinion poll were not favorable, a defense official
said, but the MND decided to print them anyway out of fear that its
image might be affected even more negatively if it didn't. 
 
The opinion poll, conducted by telephone with 1,130 people, took place
between Oct.  29 and Oct.  31 last year.  The results are said to have a
95 percent reliability, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2.9
percent. 
 
In the poll, just 51.8 percent of respondents said they were satisfied
with the performance of MND.  The MND's satisfaction rating in the
category of arms purchases was even lower -- at 34.1 percent.
 
URL=[http://www.taipeitimes.com/news/2002/07/24/story/0000149438] 

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