[iwar] [fc:A.Whitehouse.out.of.control.-.the.real.threat.to.America?]

From: Fred Cohen (fc@all.net)
Date: 2002-08-16 06:39:19


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Date: Fri, 16 Aug 2002 06:39:19 -0700 (PDT)
Subject: [iwar] [fc:A.Whitehouse.out.of.control.-.the.real.threat.to.America?]
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AFI Executive Briefing  - 11th August 2002

RICHARD BENNETT MEDIA  
Intelligence Consultants for the News Media, Publishing and
the Global Business Community  

E-mail   RBMedia         
Tel:  +44(0)1626 33 50 40    
Fax: +44 (0)1626 33 50 40
Website  RBMedia

A Whitehouse out of control - the real threat to America?

It would appear that the gravest danger that the United States now faces
is not from the terrorism of Osama Bin-Laden or Saddam Husseins Iraq,
but from the extremist policies of a group of right wing and fanatically
anti-Muslim senior officials and advisers in the Bush administration. 
Effectively they have hijacked US foreign policy and sidetracked the
State Departments traditional diplomatic methods.  The anti-Islamic
crusade launched in the aftermath of the eminently avoidable tragedy of
9-11 threatens to cast Western relations with the Arab world back 800
years and compounded with the growing taint of corruption at the highest
levels and gross financial mismanagement is quickly making even the
morally corrupt and politically bankrupt regime of Bill Clinton look
like a peon of virtue and a period of intellectual brilliance

The United States public and with few honourable exceptions, the News
Media are being bamboozled by a barrage of half-truths, blatant
propaganda and deliberate disinformation and led down a path towards
endless conflict, with the huge future commitment of manpower, money and
energy that will be needed to keep the lid on a fast boiling Middle
Eastern situation in particular.  The United States armed forces despite
their laudable efforts and undoubted loyalty both to President and
country, are quietly expressing their deep concerns at present US
policies and are in private strongly opposed to becoming the worlds
policeman.  It is a job they are simply not trained or equipped to do,
and perhaps even more importantly feel that they should not even be
asked to carry out.  The CIA and NSA despite considerable efforts on
their behalf have once again proved the distinct limitations of the
intelligence community no matter how well they are funded.  A chronic
lack of experienced field officers, inside information from 'moles' and
the appalling and potentially fatal absence of any real knowledge of
their enemies is serious enough, but the inability to produce fast and
accurate analysis of available intelligence has hamstrung the best
efforts of the US counter-terrorist campaign and seriously derailed the
development of a profoundly sensible and workable foreign policy. 

Iraq is not a direct threat to the United States itself nor probably any
of its interests in the Middle East, with the possible exception of
Israel.  Saddam Hussein could not have attacked concentrations of US
Forces, Israel or neighbouring Arab states with his limited conventional
armed forces and moreover Saddam is well aware that the use of his small
chemical, biological or perhaps even nuclear capability would have
immediately brought an overwhelming and disproportionate US and probably
Israeli nuclear response.  To put it bluntly the Iraqi regime has too
many problems just keeping hold of power in Baghdad to be a danger to
anyone outside its own borders and it is quite ludicrous to suggest that
Iraq, after some eleven years of crippling international sanctions could
pose a 'Clear and Present Danger' to the worlds greatest and only
superpower. 

The planned US military campaign against Iraq has instead all the
hallmarks of a Government seeking to distract public attention from its
failure so far to defeat international terrorism, the corrosive Israeli
influence on US foreign policy and a growing financial crisis at home. 
Combined with an all too apparent desire to finally finish the business
of the 1991 Gulf War, it hardly makes for an honourable reason to go to
war with a foreign nation that has not and will not, except as a
despairing final act, attack the United States.  The willingness of the
present incumbent of The Whitehouse to risk alienating a billion or more
Muslims for the sake of ridding the Middle East of one of the United
States former allies or to maintain the special relationship with Israel
which is a two-edged sword at best, is quite staggering. 


It is high time that political guile and the traditional diplomatic
methods of divide and rule be applied to US policy in the Middle East. 
Secretly offer Saddam Husseins closest colleagues a cast iron guarantee
that they will be left in power in return for a change in Iraqi policy
and behaviour and they will almost certainly get rid of Saddam Hussein
promptly and willingly.  This is particularly true if that is the main
price to pay for avoiding a destructive war, the conquest of their
country and most importantly the loss of their highly privileged way of
life.  Should President Bush continue to drag the United States into an
unnecessary conflict, then Britain and Europe may reluctantly have to
stand aside and allow the United States to conduct its war unilaterally
and to take the fruits victory or of course, the consequences of
failure. 

Richard M.  Bennett

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